Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 3.103038 3.434626 3.793286 4.211127 4.685878 5.210059 5.834729
2025-06-15 2.690157 3.148933 3.680057 4.344621 5.159790 6.134663 7.400164
2025-06-22 2.358270 2.872518 3.497667 4.322012 5.393028 6.754980 8.646459
2025-06-29 2.109482 2.650931 3.335064 4.276036 5.557417 7.272353 9.794880
2025-07-06 1.852358 2.384738 3.077963 4.063708 5.457525 7.402061 10.401517
2025-07-13 1.724930 2.272617 3.006726 4.084965 5.667115 7.967854 11.692058
2025-07-20 1.636135 2.202097 2.981351 4.161185 5.954342 8.667955 13.272301
2025-07-27 1.563436 2.145938 2.968127 4.248767 6.260799 9.423899 15.042077
2025-08-03 1.490654 2.082553 2.937010 4.302864 6.515569 10.120283 16.806803
2025-08-10 1.418541 2.013839 2.890979 4.326863 6.720043 10.751094 18.543310
2025-08-17 1.317135 1.893932 2.757850 4.199478 6.658339 10.915030 19.430341
2025-08-24 1.242487 1.809537 2.672907 4.141748 6.706451 11.272742 20.737793
2025-08-31 1.178733 1.739388 2.607616 4.114727 6.811707 11.758183 22.408879
2025-09-07 1.154707 1.729950 2.638419 4.252805 7.226449 12.876175 25.611776
2025-09-14 1.101040 1.669451 2.581237 4.232204 7.344961 13.431500 27.681567
2025-09-21 1.047461 1.605716 2.514101 4.187624 7.411982 13.888939 29.608029
2025-09-28 0.968997 1.496675 2.363808 3.980602 7.143034 13.616911 29.734174
2025-10-05 0.936211 1.461941 2.338350 4.001341 7.327151 14.329027 32.439028
2025-10-12 0.914575 1.444631 2.341671 4.075678 7.626525 15.330988 36.104554
2025-10-19 0.895925 1.431219 2.350694 4.161086 7.957079 16.447960 40.337654
2025-10-26 0.873362 1.409662 2.343538 4.213835 8.222752 17.450075 44.486429
2025-11-02 0.847908 1.381595 2.322664 4.237236 8.425993 18.329561 48.488185
2025-11-09 0.803590 1.317819 2.232352 4.113022 8.285900 18.336798 49.780395